Factors Associated with Duck Nest Success
in the Prairie Pothole Region of Canada
Nesting Chronology
We estimated the date each nest was initiated by counting back from the date it
was found, 1 day for each egg in the clutch and one day for each day of incubation
minus 1. We calculated median date of nest initiation and interquartile range
of initiation dates for each of the 5 common species in each area-year. For each
of the 5 common species, we performed multiple regression analyses relating (1)
median date of nest initiation and (2) interquartile range of initiation dates
to nest success, percentage of seasonal wetlands that were wet in May, and average
temperature and total precipitation each month, April through June. We used the
interquartile range (the difference between third and first quartiles) as a measure
of the central span of the nesting period. The median date of nest initiation
and interquartile range of initiation dates were compared among the 5 common species
with analysis of variance. When an overall difference was detected, linear contrasts
were used to identify which species were different. Each area-year for which we
had >=10 nests was assigned a weight equal to the square root of the number of
nests. Area-years with <10 nests were not used because we considered them inadequate
for estimating these nesting parameters.
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