Northern Prairie Wildlife Research Center
Evaluations of Duck Habitat and Estimation of Duck Population Sizes with
a Remote-Sensing-Based System
by
Lewis M. Cowardin, Terry L. Shaffer, and Phillip M. Arnold
U.S. Department of the Interior
National Biological Service
Northern Prairie Science Center
Jamestown, North Dakota 58401
Abstract: During 1987-90, we used high-altitude photography, aerial
videography, counts, and models to estimate sizes of breeding populations of
dabbling ducks (Anatinae) and duck production and to identify duck habitat on
U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service land and easements and on private land in the
prairie pothole region of the United States. The study area contained about
3.1 million wetland basins (28,490 km²). Wetland area (ha per km²)
was highest on service-owned land; wetland-basin density was greatest on service
easements. Temporary and seasonal wetlands were underrepresented and lakes were
overrepresented on service-owned land. Seventy-eight percent of all basins were
less than 0.41 ha. Cropland dominated private land. Pond density decreased from
4.4/km² in 1987 to 3.4/km² in 1990 and pond area, from 7.2 ha/km²
to 2.7 ha/km². The density of the blue-winged teal was greatest (3.4 pairs/km²)
and was followed in magnitude by those of the mallard (2.1 pairs/km²),
the gadwall (1.8 pairs/km²), the northern pintail (0.8 pairs/km²),
and the redhead (0.8 pairs/km²). Duck density was consistently highest
on service-owned land. The decline of breeding-population sizes in 1987-90 closely
corresponded to losses of pond numbers and pond area. The density of breeding
pairs per pond was inversely related to pond density, suggesting that breeding
ducks tended to concentrate on the remaining ponds as drought intensified. The
production of recruits followed the same pattern as breeding-population sizes.
We estimated that 2.5% of the ducklings hatched on service-owned land, which
was 1.3% of the study area; 19.6% hatched on service easements, which were 14.2%
of the study area; and 77.9% hatched on private land, which was 84.6% of the
study area. Various sources of bias and sampling error and improvements to the
system are discussed.
Key words: Ducks, wetlands, population, recruitment, management,
models, videography, drought.
This resource is based on the following source (Northern Prairie Publication
0925):
Cowardin, Lewis M., Terry L. Shaffer, and Phillip M. Arnold. 1995. Evaluations
of duck habitat and estimation of duck population sizes with a remote-
sensing-based system. National Biological Service, Biological Science
Report 2. 26pp.
This resource should be cited as:
Cowardin, Lewis M., Terry L. Shaffer, and Phillip M. Arnold. 1995. Evaluations
of duck habitat and estimation of duck population sizes with a remote-
sensing-based system. National Biological Service, Biological Science
Report 2. Jamestown, ND: Northern Prairie Wildlife Research Center Online.
http://www.npwrc.usgs.gov/resource/birds/duckhab/index.htm
(Version 16JUL97).
Table of Contents
Tables
- Table 1. -- Numbers of 10.4-km² plots
(n) for evaluating duck (Anatinae) habitat and estimating numbers of ducks
and number of plots covered by videography (NV) during 1987-90 in the prairie
pothole region of the United States.
- Table 2. -- Wetland-basin class definitions
based on the water regime of the basin-naming polygon.
- Table 3. -- Baseline regression coefficients
used for estimating breeding duck (Anatinae) populations on 10.4-km²
plots from the area (ha) of individual ponds determined from airborne video
in the prairie pothole region of the United States, 1987-90.
- Table 4. -- Average brood sizes of surface-feeding
ducks (Anatinae), derived by scaling mallard (Anas platyrhynchos)
brood size by relative clutch sizes of mallards and other species during
a 1987-90 study in the prairie pothole region of the United States.
- Table 5. -- Percent of total wetland basins
that contained ponds in a study area in North Dakota (Cowardin et al. 1985)
and estimates of A during 1977-80 in the prairie pothole region
of the United States.
- Table 6. -- Land ownership (%) by state
in the prairie pothole region of the United States based on 1986 data.
- Table 7. -- Estimated number of basins,
area of wetland, density of basins, and area of wetland/km² by land-ownership
class in the prairie pothole region of Minnesota, North Dakota, South Dakota,
and extreme eastern Montana, based on photographs from the early 1980s.
- Table 8. -- Estimated area of upland habitats by
landownership class in the prairie pothole region of Minnesota, North Dakota,
South Dakota, and extreme eastern Montana, based on photographs from the
early 1980s.
- Table 9. -- Estimates of A,
a measure of nesting intensity, by wetland management district and year
during 1987-90 in the prairie pothole region of the United States.
- Table 10. -- Estimates of average clutch
success by species and landownership class during 1987-90 in the prairie
pothole region of the United States.
Figures
- Figure 1. -- Distribution of 10.4-km²
sample plots used to evaluate duck (Anatinae) habitat and population size
during 1987-90 in the prairie pothole region of the United States.
- Figure 2. -- Regression of number of blue-winged
teal, gadwall, northern shoveler, and northern pintail pairs on pond size
during 1987-90 in the prairie pothole region of the United States.
- Figure 3. -- Hypothetical distribution
of duck (Anatinae) habitats and nests on a 10.4-km² plot with two landownerships
and two habitats.
- Figure 4. -- Numbers of successful nesting
attempts by ducks (Anatinae) on a hypothetical 10.4-km² plot with two
landownership classes.
- Figure 5. -- Cumulative distribution of
wetland basins by size and wetland-basin class in the prairie pothole region
of the United States, base on photographs from the early 1980s.
- Figure 6. -- Distribution of wetland-basin
classes by landownership class in the prairie pothole region of the United
States, based on photography from the early 1980s.
- Figure 7. -- Density of ponds by landownership
class during 1987-90 in the prairie pothole region of the United States,
based on aerial videography.
- Figure 8. -- Area of ponds per km²
by landownership class, during 1987-90 in the prairie pothole region of
the United States, based on aerial videography.
- Figure 9. -- Average size of ponds by
landownership class during 1987-90 in the prairie pothole region of the
United States, based on aerial videography.
- Figure 10. -- Average density of breeding
ducks (Anatinae) by landownership class during 1987-90 in the prairie pothole
region of the United States.
- Figure 11. -- Relation of density of blue-winged
teal, gadwall, mallard, northern shoveler, and northern pintail pairs to
pond size during 1987-90 in the prairie pothole region of the United States
- Figure 12. -- Relation of density of blue-winged
teal, gadwall, mallard, northern shoveler, and northern pintail pairs to
area of ponds during 1987-90 in the prairie pothole region of the United
States.
- Figure 13. -- Relation between average
number of pairs of blue-winged teal, gadwall, mallard, northern shoveler,
and northern pintail per pond and pond density during 1987-90 in the prairie
pothole region of the United States.
- Figure 14. -- Relation between the average
number of duck (Anatinae) pairs per km² and year by landownership class
during 1987-90 in the prairie pothole region of the United States.
- Figure 15. -- Number of produced recruits
per km² by blue-winged teal, gadwall, mallard, northern shoveler, and
northern pintail during 1987-90 in the prairie pothole region of the United
States, based on model projections from aerial videography and ground counts
- Figure 16. -- Number of produced recruits
per mi² of blue-winged teal, gadwall, mallard, northern shoveler, and
northern pintail during 1987-90 in the prairie pothole region of the United
States, based on model projections from aerial videography and ground counts.
- Figure 17. -- Recruitment rate of five
species of dabbling ducks during 1987-90 in the prairie pothole region of
the United States, based on model projections from aerial videography and
ground counts.
- Figure 18. -- Average number of successful
nesting attempts per km² by blue-winged teal, gadwall, mallard, northern
shoveler, and northern pintail by landownership class in the prairie pothole
region of the United States, based on model projections from aerial videography
and ground counts
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